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Journal Articles

The Folly of Forecasting: The Effects of a Disaggregated Demand Forecasting System on Forecast Error, Forecast Positive Bias, and Inventory Levels

Alexander Brüggen, Isabella Grabner, Karen L. Sedatole
Journal: The Accounting Review
The Accounting Review (2021) 96 (2): 127–152.
https://doi.org/10.2308/tar-2018-0559
Published: 01 March 2021
... bias. We examine whether a disaggregation of the forecast into various sources of demand reduces forecast error and bias. Using proprietary data from a manufacturing organization, we find that absolute demand forecast error declines following the implementation of a disaggregated forecast system. We...
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